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By Thierry Aimar, Francis Bismans, Claude Diebolt

This e-book analyzes the advance of monetary cycles within the run of background. the point of interest is at the improvement of cycle conception, with greatest emphasis upon principles. bankruptcy 1 gives you an summary of the controversy approximately cycles prior to the Seventies. bankruptcy 2 completes this survey via proposing the most empirical investigations due to the fact that that point. eventually, Chapters three and four illustrate the discourse, via offering, within the culture of Burns and Mitchell, unique case reviews on France, South Africa, and Germany.

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Boschan, C. (1971). Cyclical analysis of time series: Selected procedures and computer programs, Technical Paper 20. New York: National Bureau of Economic Research. Burns, A. , & Mitchell, W. C. (1946). Measuring business cycles. New York: National Bureau of Economic Research. References 47 Campbell, J. , & Mankiw, N. G. (1987). Permanent and transitory components in macroeconomic fluctuations. American Economic Review, 77, 111–117. Chauvet, M. (1998). An econometric characterization of business cycle dynamics with factor structure and Markov switching.

The characteristic solutions of mixed difference and differential equation. Econometrica, 3, 225–239. Goodwin, R. M. (1951). The non-linear accelerator and the persistence of business cycles. Econometrica, 19, 1–17. Haavelmo, T. (1943). Statistical testing of business-cycle theories. Review of Economic Statistics, 25, 13–18. Haavelmo, T.  « The Probability Approach in Econometrics », supplement à Econometrica, 12. Haberler, G. (1937). Prosperity and depression. Geneva: League of Nations. Hansen, A.

M. (1919). Indices of business conditions. Review of Economic Statistics, 1, 5–110. Ricardo, D. (1817, 1819, 1821). On the principles of political economy and taxation. In P. ), The works and correspondence of David Ricardo (Vol. 1). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1951. (Trad. ). References 27 Samuelson, P. A. (1939). Interactions between the multiplier analysis and the principle of acceleration. Review of Economic Statistics, 21, 75–78. Samuelson, P. A. (1987). Paradise lost and refound: The harvard ABC Barometers.

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